Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000590 0.000679 0.000774 0.000883 0.001003 0.001131 0.001278
2025-06-01 0.000438 0.000558 0.000695 0.000862 0.001059 0.001282 0.001553
2025-06-08 0.000351 0.000480 0.000635 0.000834 0.001077 0.001363 0.001721
2025-06-15 0.000297 0.000433 0.000604 0.000832 0.001121 0.001470 0.001920
2025-06-22 0.000255 0.000395 0.000578 0.000830 0.001159 0.001567 0.002105
2025-06-29 0.000219 0.000358 0.000549 0.000819 0.001182 0.001644 0.002264
2025-07-06 0.000187 0.000324 0.000518 0.000802 0.001195 0.001705 0.002402
2025-07-13 0.000170 0.000310 0.000514 0.000821 0.001253 0.001825 0.002619
2025-07-20 0.000154 0.000295 0.000507 0.000833 0.001302 0.001933 0.002822
2025-07-27 0.000135 0.000272 0.000486 0.000824 0.001321 0.001999 0.002969
2025-08-03 0.000118 0.000249 0.000463 0.000809 0.001328 0.002050 0.003095
2025-08-10 0.000107 0.000238 0.000457 0.000818 0.001371 0.002149 0.003289
2025-08-17 0.000096 0.000224 0.000445 0.000820 0.001402 0.002235 0.003468
2025-08-24 0.000081 0.000202 0.000417 0.000793 0.001391 0.002258 0.003561
2025-08-31 0.000069 0.000182 0.000392 0.000769 0.001380 0.002281 0.003651
2025-09-07 0.000061 0.000171 0.000381 0.000766 0.001402 0.002353 0.003814
2025-09-14 0.000054 0.000160 0.000371 0.000764 0.001425 0.002425 0.003977
2025-09-21 0.000047 0.000148 0.000356 0.000754 0.001434 0.002476 0.004110
2025-09-28 0.000041 0.000136 0.000339 0.000739 0.001433 0.002512 0.004220
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000133 0.000341 0.000756 0.001487 0.002632 0.004457
2025-10-12 0.000035 0.000129 0.000339 0.000768 0.001530 0.002737 0.004674
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000120 0.000327 0.000759 0.001540 0.002789 0.004812
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000111 0.000313 0.000745 0.001539 0.002823 0.004923